Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.001011 0.001145 0.001286 0.001446 0.001620 0.001805 0.002015
2024-12-15 0.000758 0.000938 0.001141 0.001384 0.001667 0.001982 0.002360
2024-12-22 0.000630 0.000829 0.001062 0.001354 0.001705 0.002110 0.002610
2024-12-29 0.000543 0.000755 0.001014 0.001348 0.001763 0.002257 0.002881
2025-01-05 0.000478 0.000698 0.000976 0.001347 0.001821 0.002396 0.003140
2025-01-12 0.000419 0.000641 0.000932 0.001331 0.001854 0.002503 0.003358
2025-01-19 0.000366 0.000587 0.000886 0.001307 0.001871 0.002586 0.003545
2025-01-26 0.000338 0.000565 0.000880 0.001334 0.001954 0.002753 0.003840
2025-02-02 0.000312 0.000542 0.000871 0.001355 0.002028 0.002909 0.004122
2025-02-09 0.000277 0.000503 0.000834 0.001334 0.002042 0.002984 0.004300
2025-02-16 0.000245 0.000464 0.000796 0.001308 0.002048 0.003046 0.004460
2025-02-23 0.000227 0.000447 0.000787 0.001322 0.002108 0.003183 0.004721
2025-03-02 0.000210 0.000430 0.000779 0.001338 0.002173 0.003329 0.005001
2025-03-09 0.000184 0.000395 0.000739 0.001305 0.002165 0.003373 0.005142
2025-03-16 0.000161 0.000361 0.000700 0.001269 0.002149 0.003405 0.005264
2025-03-23 0.000146 0.000342 0.000682 0.001265 0.002182 0.003504 0.005483
2025-03-30 0.000133 0.000325 0.000667 0.001264 0.002216 0.003606 0.005707
2025-04-06 0.000119 0.000305 0.000644 0.001249 0.002229 0.003677 0.005885
2025-04-13 0.000106 0.000283 0.000617 0.001226 0.002227 0.003725 0.006031
2025-04-20 0.000100 0.000278 0.000620 0.001251 0.002303 0.003888 0.006348
2025-04-27 0.000094 0.000271 0.000619 0.001271 0.002369 0.004040 0.006649
2025-05-04 0.000084 0.000253 0.000596 0.001251 0.002370 0.004091 0.006803
2025-05-11 0.000074 0.000236 0.000571 0.001227 0.002363 0.004129 0.006938